Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 79.186957 88.750557 98.546402 109.299679 120.742083 132.525400 145.548174
2025-01-05 65.595134 79.463450 94.307030 111.252313 129.941352 149.813076 172.429542
2025-01-12 55.668022 71.682322 89.408768 110.232314 133.782927 159.371512 189.059651
2025-01-19 47.103093 64.325206 84.001519 107.722815 135.148766 165.503581 201.290467
2025-01-26 43.607279 62.385889 84.373710 111.403200 143.162239 178.780610 221.248352
2025-02-02 40.181309 60.133052 84.047002 113.979958 149.668959 190.169175 238.937344
2025-02-09 35.466822 55.841356 80.902202 112.886887 151.615134 196.104260 250.219861
2025-02-16 31.364147 51.969889 77.971055 111.781437 153.318170 201.574903 260.816617
2025-02-23 28.633400 49.670755 76.821174 112.696820 157.312320 209.633444 274.351889
2025-03-02 25.793438 46.981564 74.978256 112.582617 159.923905 215.957856 285.783097
2025-03-09 23.562913 44.958692 73.859267 113.262024 163.415161 223.265983 298.332631
2025-03-16 20.901075 42.087979 71.433489 112.112893 164.516078 227.607693 307.289204
2025-03-23 19.367748 40.807439 71.124259 113.716409 169.108175 236.261889 321.531310
2025-03-30 18.101644 39.835293 71.174733 115.752354 174.231967 245.574811 336.601889
2025-04-06 16.016629 37.381791 68.999695 114.701582 175.324784 249.870534 345.561675
2025-04-13 13.715619 34.343911 65.810534 112.130931 174.339307 251.504029 351.213338
2025-04-20 13.314505 34.489922 67.257559 115.902001 181.601390 263.418176 369.452532
2025-04-27 12.654080 34.122127 67.903354 118.541681 187.375215 273.478135 385.440574
2025-05-04 11.139405 32.075615 65.916034 117.421993 188.136005 277.199212 393.602918
2025-05-11 9.766629 30.136686 63.982806 116.289527 188.811735 280.764735 401.540045
2025-05-18 8.951541 29.183796 63.529588 117.227288 192.227909 287.796303 413.778181
2025-05-25 7.996269 27.841008 62.383892 117.110298 194.185478 292.944539 423.661479
2025-06-01 7.272896 26.894226 61.822877 117.806275 197.220131 299.461771 435.256988